So the other day, I wrote a detailed, articulate post with my latest election projections. Naturally, my computer froze up and I lost it just as I was about to publish it. As a result, you get my ultra-abridged version. Take my last projection, move Wisconsin and Iowa to Bush's column, and you've got Bush 291-247. The only two ways for Kerry to win at this point are:

A) Hold on to his base and win Florida;
or B) Hold on to his base and take some combination of Ohio (20), Wisconsin (10), Iowa (7), West Virginia (5), or Nevada (5) that adds another 23 electoral votes.

Personally, I don't see it happenening barring some major mistake by the president in the coming weeks.