Since a few people have asked my opinion, here are my ridiculously early presidential predictions:

Bush locks:
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Georgia
Idaho
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Montana
Nebraska
North Carolina
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Texas
Utah
Wyoming

Total Electoral Points: 167

Kerry Locks:
California
Connecticut
Deleware
DC
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington

Total Electoral Points: 183

Likely Bush States:
Arkansas
Colorado
Tennessee
Virginia
West Virginia

Total Electoral Points: 211

Likely Kerry States:
Michigan
Minnesota
New Hampshire
New Mexico
Oregon

Total Electoral Points: 226

States Leaning Bush:
Missouri
Nevada

Total Electoral Points: 227

States Leaning Kerry:
Iowa
Pennsylvania

Total Electoral Points: 254

Tossups:
Florida (27 Electoral Points)
Ohio (20)
Wisconsin (10)

I see the election coming down to these three states. For Bush to win, he would need to carry at least Florida and Ohio. Kerry will need to win either Florida or Ohio. Ultimately, I think with a fairly decent economy, Bush will carry both needed states, Kerry will pick up Wisconsin, and the final electoral tally will be Bush 274 - Kerry 264. Interestingly, the only state that changes parties from the previous election in this analysis is New Hampshire. For better or worse, our nation is becoming increasingly polarized in its politics. Comments and critiques are always welcome.